faithlessgod - 13 May 2008 02:44 AM
Bryan
When you suggested internal self-consistency as your differential evidence to show the superiority and thereby increase the a posteriori odds of your god being correct, I indicated that is insufficient as a form of differential evidence and external consistency could do the trick.
You failed to offer sufficient evidence that internal consistency was insufficient as a form of differential evidence--and in the first place your original question was how I would suggest shifting the odds to make one religion more likely than another. My reply does not tie me to one criterion for differentiation. In fact I alluded to an external consistency test in an earlier post (one that you acknowledged) but now here you are appearing to suggest that all my eggs are in one basket. My eggs are not all in one basket, are they?
You are quite entitled to reject my suggestion, as I think you are and as the challenge is for you to provide suitable evidence. However this was not meant specifically as a suggestion but also as an indicator of the problem with your internal self-consistency argument.
I think your complaint has been effectively addressed.
You appear to take it as an article of faith that if internal consistency is claimed and if evaluations include bias then that is the end of using self-consistency as a valuable criterion. I don’t think that it is properly assumed that reason, properly applied, does not trump that complaint.
That is I am saying that your method relying on the self-consistency of your own worldview can also, and has been, used by other theists and so internal self-consistency fails as a means to provide a posteriori evidence to increase the odds of your god over its alternates.
Non sequitur. It is improper to assume that mere claims to self-consistency establish self-consistency. Each system should be amenable to evaluation in terms of reason regardless of the potential for bias. If bias is as pervasive and destructive as faithlessgod appears to suggest then we should wonder whether to accept anything he says owing to the fact that his bias is likely to corrupt his reasoning.
I am sure you are more than capable of finding flaws in self-consistency in other theistic world views. The internet is also full of other theism’s criticisms of your theism (or at least something like it). In order make this external criticism of other systems internal self-consistency work, without being biased or selective or subjective, one needs someone to be objective like certain anthropologists such as Pascal Boyer - who covers this point extensively in the first chapter of his book Religion Explained - who is not biased towards or against a particular theistic worldview. But this ends up saying that all such world views are inconsistent and again that fails to differentiate theistic world views and you are unlikely, based on subjective reasons, to accept this.
Doesn’t that reduce the issue to an ad hominem attack? Instead of admitting that the framework I propose is reasonable but might not lead where I wish it to lead, you proceed directly (on what evidence?) to suppose that I would be incapable of fairly weighing evidences in the first place. And how do we know that Mr. Boyer is free of bias? Because of a bias against all religion?
Here’s an atheist’s critique of Boyer:
http://www.cosmoetica.com/B99-DES54.htm
Does the atheist’s critique fail because the atheist is biased whereas Boyer is not?
Just because you think an incoherent worldview can be dismissed does not mean that it should. After all in that case I think, from what I have read that your worldview is incoherent (and we don’t need to go into details here) so should I not summarily dismiss yours before we even start?
I thought it charitable to think that your suggestion of judging religions a priori took into account the nature of the religion (otherwise I’d have no reason for differentiating between Wicca and Scientology or even between Hinduism and atheism). Was I wrong to make that assumption? If so, please explain what you mean regarding a priori judgment of religions.
Beyond that, your criticism appears equivocal, and here’s what I mean by that.
1) I suggest that internal contradiction should result in a given worldview being excluded from consideration
2) You suggest that just because I think an internal contradiction exists that it does not necessarily follow that the religion should be so excluded.
3) In effect, you have re-interpreted my suggestion (1) and turned it into (4):
4) “I suggest that if I think an internal contradiction exists then a given wouldview should be excluded from consideration”
5) I did not assume that evaluation was inevitably done correctly. I simply provided a framework in which a proper evaluation might take place. That framework of course assumes that the evaluations are done properly as the basic premise of the system working. Yet you reject that premise to suggest that the system itself is flawed.
I daresay there is no system for which a similar type of flaw does not exist, for not following a system is one of the basic ways in which systems fail.
And many other theistic world views would say the same about yours too. So shall we dismiss it based on a a majority view (each worldview here has only one vote regardless of how many supporters it has - that avoids demographic bias)? Is that fair? Why listen to you only or listen all together?
I’m positing that there is correct and ~correct, contradiction and ~contradiction. I’m not suggesting listening either to me or to a majority. I am suggesting reasoning accurately.
The Bayesian method here is designed to avoid these types of issues of bias. So I am specifically not doing that here and trying to offer you a fair chance to make your case. Or do you not want me to do that?
No, I don’t want you to change the topic from the method I use to eliminate many different religions from consideration to an exhaustive discussion of how and why each one is eliminated in my own experience to arrive at the conclusion I hold for the present. The latter is the sort of question that I am reasonable to skip based on the various demands on my time. The former is a reasonable question, and I think I have provided a suitable answer that you have not treated suitably.
So as as far as I can see the odds of you being right remain at 0.0001 at best.
Like I said before, that’s fine. I don’t need to make you alter your assessment. You asked how I would alter the odds and I have told you. Your objection assumes that the system is not/would not be followed properly.
You mean you’re about to dismiss it because of low odds???
If the odds don’t change then what accounts for the not-quite-summarily forthcoming dismissal (unless I’m misreading you)?
Well if you fail to increase the odds of your god, the opportunity cost of spending time dealing with a worldview that at best has odds of being correct of 0.0001 is limited. Either increase it or I will conclude that this is not worth considering further. How much time would you spend on any other religion if you thought the odds of it being correct were only 0.0001?
You mean like if I thought it contained an internal contradiction?
Did we just go in a figure eight circle or what? You appear to utilize the same process you’re criticizing me for applying. okfyts.