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Harvey
Posted: 24 August 2017 11:20 PM   [ Ignore ]
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and the beat goes on . . .

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2017/08/24/rapidly-strengthening-harvey-forecast-to-slam-east-texas-as-major-hurricane-and-stall/

Because Harvey is positioned over extremely warm waters, the National Hurricane Center predicts that the storm, which was a tropical depression on Wednesday,
will intensify further and make landfall as a Category 3 storm with 125 mph winds Friday night or early Saturday.

The general computer model consensus is that Harvey will make landfall Friday night or Saturday morning between Port Mansfield and Sargent, Texas,
southwest of Galveston, the zone under a hurricane warning. The biggest population center in this area is Corpus Christi — which may end up very close to the landfall location.

The five-day “cone of uncertainty,” an illustration of where the storm may track, is squashed down to a circle, indicating that after coming ashore,
the storm may stall, unleashing its wrath over the same general area through at least Monday or Tuesday. ...

Areas along the middle and upper Texas coast may see 15 to 25 inches of rain, with a few areas receiving as much as 35 inches,
although it is impossible to pinpoint exactly where the heaviest rain will fall. ...

Storm surge

The Hurricane Center predicts 6 to 12 feet of water — above normally dry land — inundating coastal areas immediately to the east and north of the landfall location.
That amount is based on the assumption that Harvey makes landfall as a Category 3 hurricane. But the surge could be even higher (or lower)
if the storm is stronger (or weaker) and will be adjusted as the forecast evolves. It is critical that affected residents heed evacuation orders.

https://twitter.com/BMcNoldy/status/900704760248107009
“High ocean heat content along Hurricane Harvey’s path will allow for continued and unhindered rapid intensification today and Friday. Very dangerous!”

preparation and safety tips
https://weather.com/safety/hurricane


Flood insurance, now what?
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/video/flood-insurance-could-be-a-problem-post-harvey

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Posted: 25 August 2017 05:05 AM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 1 ]
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I am in Houston, hysteria has taken hold.  The stores are sold out of bread and water, a lot of people on the road are driving with a high anxiety it seems(I saw four near miss car wrecks and two actual wrecks on the way in).  I have to wonder if part of this hysteria is the internet hype, stories with titles like “Grave danger” and “Life threatening” and “worst in 50 yrs”.  Although as a city we did learn our lesson from Ike and Rita, no power for weeks, looting, fighting for gas and food, no one is looking forward to that again.

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Posted: 25 August 2017 08:47 AM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 2 ]
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WaylonCash - 25 August 2017 05:05 AM

I am in Houston, hysteria has taken hold.  The stores are sold out of bread and water, a lot of people on the road are driving with a high anxiety it seems(I saw four near miss car wrecks and two actual wrecks on the way in).  I have to wonder if part of this hysteria is the internet hype, stories with titles like “Grave danger” and “Life threatening” and “worst in 50 yrs”.  Although as a city we did learn our lesson from Ike and Rita, no power for weeks, looting, fighting for gas and food, no one is looking forward to that again.

I hope you’re situated on high ground and have your provisions in order.
The reports are all sounding pretty dire and the way that thing blew up when it hit the warm Gulf waters is pretty impressive.

This satellite loop makes it look like it’s already dumping hard in your area.
https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php

Good luck.

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Posted: 25 August 2017 12:21 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 3 ]
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WaylonCash - 25 August 2017 05:05 AM

I am in Houston, hysteria has taken hold.  The stores are sold out of bread and water, a lot of people on the road are driving with a high anxiety it seems(I saw four near miss car wrecks and two actual wrecks on the way in).  I have to wonder if part of this hysteria is the internet hype, stories with titles like “Grave danger” and “Life threatening” and “worst in 50 yrs”.  Although as a city we did learn our lesson from Ike and Rita, no power for weeks, looting, fighting for gas and food, no one is looking forward to that again.

Which is why it’s a good idea for people to be forewarned and forearmed—and I don’t mean with guns, though, in Texas, they probably will be.

Lois

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Posted: 25 August 2017 12:27 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 4 ]
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Also, don’t look to the Federal government under Trump to help out. To Trump and the Republicans it would look like Socialism! to give aid. Texans should be able to help themselves, after all. Stands to reason, if the federal gummint helps them they’ll get fat and lazy and won’t do anything for themselves and will keep on expecting handouts.

LL

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Posted: 25 August 2017 07:39 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 5 ]
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LoisL - 25 August 2017 12:27 PM

Also, don’t look to the Federal government under Trump to help out. To Trump and the Republicans it would look like Socialism! to give aid. Texans should be able to help themselves, after all. Stands to reason, if the federal gummint helps them they’ll get fat and lazy and won’t do anything for themselves and will keep on expecting handouts.

LL

President Trump’s administration has been preparing for months for what is forecast to be an especially active hurricane season. Hope the departments can make President Trump proud. I noticed Texas had counties applying for disaster aid yesterday, ahead of the storm.

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Posted: 26 August 2017 02:36 AM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 6 ]
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WaylonCash - 25 August 2017 05:05 AM

I am in Houston, hysteria has taken hold.  The stores are sold out of bread and water, a lot of people on the road are driving with a high anxiety it seems(I saw four near miss car wrecks and two actual wrecks on the way in).  I have to wonder if part of this hysteria is the internet hype, stories with titles like “Grave danger” and “Life threatening” and “worst in 50 yrs”.  Although as a city we did learn our lesson from Ike and Rita, no power for weeks, looting, fighting for gas and food, no one is looking forward to that again.

Don’t you think it’s a good idea to warn people of what’s coming? Is that Internet or media hype? Should they just not say anything but “Que sera, sera?”

Lois

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Posted: 26 August 2017 11:21 AM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 7 ]
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MikeYohe - 25 August 2017 07:39 PM

President Trump’s administration has been preparing for months

Really now?  So you say?  Does anyone from within government say so? 
Got any supporting information to let us in on some of these supposed ‘preparations’?

Starting hurricane season without leaders of NOAA and FEMA should ‘scare the hell out of everybody’

By Brandon Miller, CNN Meteorologist
Updated 11:40 AM ET, Sat June 3, 2017
http://www.cnn.com/2017/06/02/us/noaa-fema-vacancy/index.html

[ Edited: 26 August 2017 11:27 AM by Citizenschallenge-v.3 ]
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Posted: 26 August 2017 11:43 AM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 8 ]
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Citizenschallenge-v.3 - 26 August 2017 11:21 AM
MikeYohe - 25 August 2017 07:39 PM

President Trump’s administration has been preparing for months

Really now?  So you say?  Does anyone from within government say so? 
Got any supporting information to let us in on some of these supposed ‘preparations’?

Starting hurricane season without leaders of NOAA and FEMA should ‘scare the hell out of everybody’

By Brandon Miller, CNN Meteorologist
Updated 11:40 AM ET, Sat June 3, 2017
http://www.cnn.com/2017/06/02/us/noaa-fema-vacancy/index.html

https://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2017/08/25/Trump-signs-Texas-hurricane-disaster-declaration/5371503671546/

Aug. 25 (UPI)—President Donald Trump on Friday signed a presidential disaster declaration to make federal funds available to Texas as Hurricane Harvey bears down on the coast.

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Posted: 26 August 2017 05:16 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 9 ]
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6 foot invisible rabbits are so aggravating.

Is this an ‘H’ thing?  Hato and Harvey

[ Edited: 26 August 2017 05:32 PM by psikeyhackr ]
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Posted: 26 August 2017 06:22 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 10 ]
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LoisL - 25 August 2017 12:27 PM

Also, don’t look to the Federal government under Trump to help out. To Trump and the Republicans it would look like Socialism! to give aid. Texans should be able to help themselves, after all. Stands to reason, if the federal gummint helps them they’ll get fat and lazy and won’t do anything for themselves and will keep on expecting handouts.

LL

  Our state has a budget surplus; has been that way for nearly two decades.  (Odd, this is directly thanks to George Bush and Rick Perry, i will explain if need be.)  We do have a pension debt problem I won’t elaborate on though.  But we have nearly 10 billion for “rainy days”.  Texans are notoriously proud and much more unified than a lot of the country.  We will accept help and since it’s our own money any way the federal government has an obligation to help. 

  It’s not that bad yet, but I read that Rockport and Corpus Christi were hit very hard.  Houston is mostly getting just downpours.  I hope everyone is safe in the more affected areas though, my company will likely be volunteering to help clean up.

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Posted: 26 August 2017 06:27 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 11 ]
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WaylonCash - 26 August 2017 06:22 PM
LoisL - 25 August 2017 12:27 PM

Also, don’t look to the Federal government under Trump to help out. To Trump and the Republicans it would look like Socialism! to give aid. Texans should be able to help themselves, after all. Stands to reason, if the federal gummint helps them they’ll get fat and lazy and won’t do anything for themselves and will keep on expecting handouts.

LL

  Our state has a budget surplus; has been that way for nearly two decades.  (Odd, this is directly thanks to George Bush and Rick Perry, i will explain if need be.)  We do have a pension debt problem I won’t elaborate on though.  But we have nearly 10 billion for “rainy days”.  Texans are notoriously proud and much more unified than a lot of the country.  We will accept help and since it’s our own money any way the federal government has an obligation to help. 

  It’s not that bad yet, but I read that Rockport and Corpus Christi were hit very hard.  Houston is mostly getting just downpours.  I hope everyone is safe in the more affected areas though, my company will likely be volunteering to help clean up.

Good to hear from you Waylon.

About that surplus ??

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Posted: 26 August 2017 07:36 PM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 12 ]
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Texas accounts for 1/3 Of all American oil reserves, unemployment is average at 4.3%, but Texas Railroad Commissioner David Porter announced that, as of June, “a record-breaking 297,800 Texans appeared on oil and gas industry payrolls.”[1]  These jobs pay much more that service industry jobs or manufacturing jobs with a median wage of $56,587 and oil rich states much higher[2]. I can tell you personally, I make nearly $70,000 in this industry. That’s more money spent in the state along with property tax that makes up some contributing factors. Rick Perry lowered taxes and regulations on this industry, following the trends of his predecessor, George W. Bush.  Bush is criticized for not policing the environmental effects of this trend, but on the other hand he passed a law forcing power plants owners to buy a certain amount of renewable energy a year, leading tx to become the nation leader in producing wind energy, consequently creating more jobs.[3]  In 2015, 88.9% of collected tax revenue came from sales tax and gross receipts[4], basically we make more money so we spend more money creating more tax revenue.  Also, George Bush enacted another law concerning alcohol and drug education; a subset of which has brought the state a massive amount of revenue dispersed locally and state wide.  If you get a D.W.I., regardless of the circumstances, you are going to pay a minimum of a $3000 fine to the state aswell as another fine to the local court system.  The average cost of a D.W.I. here is $7000.00.  They are looking for the opportunity to charge anyone with a D.W.I. I promise. 
  To be fair, it is speculated this will be the last year of this surplus and with this storm on top of other factors i could see how that could be true.  Yes these have had many negative effects on the environment;working in many of the refineries I can tell you it is disgusting, especially propylene refineries(think Koch).  But with the choice of a good living for my children or standing heavily outnumbered in support of my principles I’ll choose my children.

[1] Brick, Micheal.
“How Many Jobs In Texas Are Related To Oil,Gas?  Go Figure.”,
The Houston Chronicle,
25, September 2014
https://www.google.com/amp/www.houstonchronicle.com/business/energy/amp/In-Texas-Oil-Boom-Job-Abound-Give-or-Take-5772992.php

[2] Ausick, Paul.
“The Ten Most Oil Rich States”,
USA Today Money,
23, August 2013,
https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2013/08/03/the-most-oil-rich-states/2613497/

[3] George W. Bush Wikipedia page
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_W._Bush
(I am not clear yet on how to properly cite a Wikipedia entry)

[4] Ballotpedia.
Texas State Budget and Finances,
2017,
https://ballotpedia.org/Texas_state_budget_and_finances

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Posted: 27 August 2017 07:34 AM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 13 ]
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interesting.  thanks

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Posted: 28 August 2017 02:08 AM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 14 ]
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WaylonCash - 25 August 2017 05:05 AM

I am in Houston, hysteria has taken hold.  The stores are sold out of bread and water, a lot of people on the road are driving with a high anxiety it seems(I saw four near miss car wrecks and two actual wrecks on the way in).  I have to wonder if part of this hysteria is the internet hype, stories with titles like “Grave danger” and “Life threatening” and “worst in 50 yrs”.  Although as a city we did learn our lesson from Ike and Rita, no power for weeks, looting, fighting for gas and food, no one is looking forward to that again.

Are you srill seeing hysteria on the Internet, radio and television about Hurricane Harvey! Must be quite entertaining.

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Posted: 28 August 2017 02:10 AM   [ Ignore ]   [ # 15 ]
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MikeYohe - 25 August 2017 07:39 PM
LoisL - 25 August 2017 12:27 PM

Also, don’t look to the Federal government under Trump to help out. To Trump and the Republicans it would look like Socialism! to give aid. Texans should be able to help themselves, after all. Stands to reason, if the federal gummint helps them they’ll get fat and lazy and won’t do anything for themselves and will keep on expecting handouts.

LL

President Trump’s administration has been preparing for months for what is forecast to be an especially active hurricane season. Hope the departments can make President Trump proud. I noticed Texas had counties applying for disaster aid yesterday, ahead of the storm.

Meanwhile he wants to cut funds for FEMA. Can that blithering idiot get any more stupid?

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