Article about this in the NYTimes today, front page below the fold. See HERE:
Journal’s Paper on ESP Expected to Prompt Outrage
By BENEDICT CAREY
Published: January 5, 2011
One of psychology’s most respected journals has agreed to publish a paper presenting what its author describes as strong evidence for extrasensory perception, the ability to sense future events.
The decision may delight believers in so-called paranormal events, but it is already mortifying scientists. Advance copies of the paper, to be published this year in The Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, have circulated widely among psychological researchers in recent weeks and have generated a mixture of amusement and scorn. ...
The story is decent enough, as far as it goes, but one quibble I have is with this point:
... if ESP exists, why aren’t people getting rich by reliably predicting the movement of the stock market or the outcome of football games?
The problem is that one doesn’t need ESP to reliably predict such things. (At least, it’s not clear that one does). If one is smart enough to be able to know all the variables that go into the problem, one may be able to reliably predict such things.
The better example involves lottery tickets or gaming outcomes at slots, cards, roulette, etc. If ESP of the kind Bem suggests were real, we’d expect people to win at these games of chance significantly more than would be expected by sheer chance. But AFAIK there is absolutely no evidence that they do.
That alone is a refutation of the claim that people have precognitive ESP.